Fangs of the Tiger
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (13 on the archive and 48 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 32
Defender wins (Russian): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1023 | 992 | 54% | 2026-05-02 | Won |
| 1071 | 984 | 62% | 2025-09-05 | Won |
| 1223 | 988 | 79% | 2025-09-03 | Lost |
| 1215 | 1129 | 62% | 2018-08-18 | Won |
| 1161 | 1080 | 61% | 2012-06-18 | Won |
| 1230 | 890 | 88% | 2008-05-27 | Won |
| 1035 | 1259 | 22% | 2008-05-13 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1233 | 36% | 2007-05-11 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1010 | 65% | 2004-12-31 | Won |
| 1046 | 1003 | 56% | 2003-12-05 | Won |
| 1182 | 1127 | 58% | 2002-11-07 | Lost |
| 1342 | 1233 | 65% | 2002-11-02 | Won |
| 1233 | 984 | 81% | 2002-10-24 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1154.8 vs 1070.2 has a 61.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).