Lunch in Luga
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (13 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1073 | 1113 | 44% | 2023-12-21 | Lost |
| 1170 | 970 | 76% | 2023-08-28 | Won |
| 989 | 987 | 50% | 2023-07-31 | Lost |
| 961 | 885 | 61% | 2020-03-18 | Lost |
| 954 | 1172 | 22% | 2019-10-21 | Lost |
| 995 | 1083 | 38% | 2018-08-30 | Lost |
| 1013 | 968 | 56% | 2018-08-03 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2018-03-20 | Lost |
| 1230 | 945 | 84% | 2018-03-16 | Lost |
| 974 | 940 | 55% | 2018-01-01 | Lost |
| 1038 | 977 | 59% | 2017-10-08 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1140 | 34% | 2017-09-30 | Lost |
| 897 | 1225 | 13% | 2017-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1038.2 vs 1048.5 has a 48.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).